Wednesday, March 22, 2006

MEMO TO STATE GOP: Tennessee voters across the board want Bredesen to stay.

Every year I make a New Year's resolution to lose weight and grow hair. By March of that same new year I end up calling my resolution for what it is - a losing proposition.
So too should the state GOP in March 2006 with regard to the Tennessee Governor's race.
All the posturing and the parading of possible GOP gubernatorial candidates cannot mask the truth - Bredesen will win re-election this year.
Why am I so confident about this?
Back in 2002, I worked in a congressional race and witnessed first hand the handiwork of a sharp pollster named Fred Yang who has a knack for dead-on accuracy when it comes to calling political races. Yang, who was also Bredesen's pollster last go around, is at it again.
Yesterday my sticky fingers nabbed a copy of a March 21st internal polling memo from Yang to Governor Bredesen. Yang was reporting on the results of a statewide poll of 600 likely Tennessee voters taken last week - between March 15 - 19. The survey was vintage Yang - a full bodied, across the board representative sampling of the state by region, race and other key demographics (not your run of the mill, cheap ass, lazy, random calling type survey).
Yang's core findings - Bredesen is in the strongest possible position going into the election season - ranked as the most popular elected official in the state by far - with a 63% positive rating and a 16% negative rating.
At this point my GOP friends may want to "look away" and start humming the chorus to Dixie instead of reading further.
Yang also documented Bredesen's support to be strongly bi-partisan and very deep-seated -- with a 68% positive rating among Independents and a 56% positive rating from Republicans.
Yang's memo went further looking at job performance - where Bredesen was rated by two thirds (65%) of Tennesseans as doing an excellent or good job.
WARNING TO GOP FRIENDS: You really, really don't want to read this next line.
The results also showed Bredesen garnering support from two thirds of voters in GOP stronghold regions such as the Knoxville area.
Yang's memo concludes with the most amazing stat - in 2002, two thirds of Tennesseans felt the state was heading in the wrong direction (remember Sundquist?). Today half of the electorate (50%) say Tennessee is now on the right track.
Yang's conclusion - "voters across Tennessee now feel confident that the state has finally turned the corner and is making progress in dealing with important issues."
All this to say, Governor Bredesen is in office to stay.

13 Comments:

Blogger Richie said...

Good news about Bredesen and great Blog, Mike!

8:30 AM  
Blogger Sean Braisted said...

This showing is echoed in the recent Survery USA poll which shows Bredesen with a 56-38% approval rating. The good thing for Bredesen (scary for me) thing is that Bredesen gets a higher approval from Republicans (60-35) than he does Democrats (56-40).

10:46 AM  
Blogger Litz said...

I think I'm one of the people called for this survey. They asked a bunch of weird questions.

11:53 AM  
Blogger Schwompa said...

I tend to trust SUSA more than internal polling from the TNDP, so I'd be more inclined to say that his approval rating is probably 56%. It's not like it matters though. I don't even think the GOP is fielding a candidate for Governor, or atleast not a viable one.

12:42 PM  
Blogger Sean Braisted said...

Schwompa,

I see you underestimate the abilities of Carl "Two Feathers" Whitaker

2:31 PM  
Blogger Litz said...

From sean's "Carl "Two Feathers" Whitaker" link:

"We the People of Tennessee must take the stand against illegal imagration in our own state..."

Ouch.

I guess he won't be the educashun guverner.

3:18 PM  
Blogger mohegan said...

I have but one thing these people need to remember about Mr. B .
Other than he doesn't care about the poor and disabled.

T.H.P-Nice to pass on the blame.

Chop Shops and Drug Dealers Money.

TENN-CARE -Where is this man going with it.He still doesn't know.

Education- Promise , Promise,and Promise to the cities with schools who are closing due to lack of state funds.

Just a few things to remember..

Thank you,
Carl Twofeathers Whitaker

4:53 PM  
Blogger JIrrera said...

Hi Mike,

Interesting blog.
However, polls, issues, ideas and campaigning are meaningless when the electoral process is corrupted.

Until we erradicate the creeping pathology of Diebold, ES&S and Sequoia electronic voting machines we might as well wait for those companies to inform us as to who our leaders will be.

I keep waiting for the mainstream media to descend en mass on the greatest sleeper story of our generation -- how the Urosevich Bros (Diebold and ES&S), thanks to the Orwellian titled "Help America Vote Act", will basically decide who two-thirds of Americans vote for.

7:48 PM  
Blogger imissbill said...

So Bredesen's set- great. Now we just send our $ to Harold Ford Jr.!

6:12 AM  
Blogger Litz said...

Education- Promise , Promise,and Promise to the cities with schools who are closing due to lack of state funds.

Well, perhaps he wants to be the educashun guverner after all ....

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